The Reserve Bank of Malawi cut its policy rate by 200 basis points to 24% during its March 2026 meeting, marking the first rate change in almost two years. Policymakers said the move reflects a gradual decline in inflation while maintaining a tight monetary stance aimed at steering inflation toward the medium-term target of 5%. Headline inflation dropped to 27.7% in Q4, down from 28.1% in the previous quarter, and further declined to 24.9% in January 2026, largely due to lower food prices following government measures to boost maize supply. However, non-food inflation remains elevated, driven by higher fuel and electricity costs linked to rising production and import expenses. The central bank projects economic growth to accelerate to 3.8% in 2026 from 2.7% in 2025, supported by stronger activity in agriculture, tourism, mining, and manufacturing. Authorities are also seeking a new IMF support program as public debt exceeds 90% of GDP and foreign exchange shortages persist.
